Scott Lucas, a foreign policy expert and editor of EA Worldview, told Express.co.uk President Biden might not be judged by the events in Afghanistan for the upcoming midterm elections next year.
Instead, according to Mr Lucas, Americans will be concerned with domestic issues, such as the economy and the recovery from the pandemic.
These comments follow the Taliban’s takeover of Afghanistan last month which caused thousands attempting to desperately flee the country.
A terror attack by ISIS-K shortly after took the lives of 13 US service members.
When asked whether Biden would be judged by his handling of the Afghanistan crisis in the upcoming midterms, Scott Lucas told Express.co.uk: “If Harold Wilson said a week is a long time in politics, the next 14 months between now and the 2022 midterms might be an eternity.
“The Biden’s administration calculation is ‘if we take a hit over Afghanistan what Americans really care about is our infrastructure bill that is going to pass this autumn.”
“These Americans are going to care about our 3.5 trillion dollar historic package for social programs. They are going to care if we deal with the coronavirus pandemic. They are going to care about if we can get their jobs back.”
On July 13, democratic legislators reached a $3.5 trillion Budget Committee agreement to make the “biggest investment in the middle class in decades and act on the climate crisis.”
The infrastructure agreement will focus on energy, health, natural forces and education infrastructure.
The Editor of EA Worldview added: “I think they might well be right. It’s cynical but I think it might well be right.
“That Americans will care about what happens to them and their families at home and Afghans are just not part of those calculations.”
He added: “To be honest with you and perhaps with a bit of regret, what will really turn American domestic politics, will be whether Americans feel they are coming out of the pandemic and economically better off between now and next autumn.
“Afghanistan does not give us a definitive answer in terms of what happens regarding control of Congress next year.”
A recent survey conducted by Pew Research Center found fifty-four percent of U.S. adults said the decision to withdraw troops from Afghanistan was the right one.
Scott Lucas was also asked whether the events in Afghanistan could be compared to the end of the Vietnam war in 1975.
At the end of the Vietnam War the Americans were defeated by communists’ forces seizing control of South Vietnam and Vietnam was unified as the Socialist Republic of Vietnam the following year.
He said: “If you look back at Vietnam, America faced challenges over how it was going to regain military political position.
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